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2006 ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTIONS |
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2006
ACADEMY AWARD PREDICTIONS |
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AB |
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AH |
PH |
MJ |
RL |
LM |
LD |
CN |
SP |
CR |
JR |
BSc |
BS |
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JeS |
JoS |
MS |
NS |
TS |
JSt |
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JU |
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| 1- |
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BEST PICTURE - 12 POINTS |
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1- |
BEST PICTURE
- 12 POINTS |
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A- |
Brokeback
Mountain" |
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X |
X |
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X |
X |
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X |
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X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
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X |
X |
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A- |
Brokeback
Mountain" |
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B- |
"Capote" |
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X |
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X |
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B- |
"Capote" |
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C- |
"Crash" |
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12 |
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12 |
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C- |
"Crash" |
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D- |
"Good
Night, and Good Luck" |
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D- |
"Good
Night, and Good Luck" |
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E- |
"Munic |
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E- |
"Munic |
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| 2- |
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BEST ACTOR - 10 POINTS |
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2- |
BEST ACTOR
- 10 POINTS |
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A- |
Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote" |
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10 |
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10 |
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10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
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10 |
10 |
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A- |
Philip
Seymour Hoffman, "Capote" |
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B- |
Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow" |
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B- |
Terrence
Howard, "Hustle & Flow" |
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C- |
Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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X |
X |
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C- |
Heath
Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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D- |
Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line" |
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X |
X |
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X |
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X |
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D- |
Joaquin
Phoenix, "Walk the Line" |
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E- |
David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck" |
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E- |
David
Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck" |
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| 3- |
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BEST ACTRESS - 10 POINTS |
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3- |
BEST
ACTRESS - 10 POINTS |
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A- |
Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents" |
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A- |
Judi
Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents" |
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B- |
Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica" |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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B- |
Felicity
Huffman, "Transamerica" |
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C- |
Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice" |
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X |
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C- |
Keira
Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice" |
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D- |
Charlize Theron, "North Country" |
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D- |
Charlize
Theron, "North Country" |
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E- |
Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line" |
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10 |
10 |
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10 |
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10 |
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10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
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10 |
10 |
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E- |
Reese
Witherspoon, "Walk the Line" |
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| 4- |
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SUPPORTING ACTOR - 7 POINTS |
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4- |
SUPPORTING
ACTOR - 7 POINTS |
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A- |
George Clooney, "Syriana" |
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7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
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7 |
7 |
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7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
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7 |
7 |
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A- |
George
Clooney, "Syriana" |
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B- |
Matt Dillon, "Crash" |
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X |
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X |
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B- |
Matt
Dillon, "Crash" |
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C- |
Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man" |
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C- |
Paul
Giamatti, "Cinderella Man" |
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D- |
Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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X |
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X |
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D- |
Jake
Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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E- |
William Hurt, "A History of Violence" |
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E- |
William
Hurt, "A History of Violence" |
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NB |
AB |
VG |
DH |
AH |
PH |
MJ |
RL |
LM |
LD |
CN |
SP |
CR |
JR |
BSc |
BS |
GS |
JeS |
JoS |
MS |
NS |
TS |
JSt |
KS |
AS |
JU |
SV |
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| 5- |
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SUPPORTING ACTRESS - 7 POINTS |
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5- |
SUPPORTING
ACTRESS - 7 POINTS |
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A- |
Amy Adams, "Junebug" |
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A- |
Amy Adams,
"Junebug" |
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B- |
Catherine Keener, "Capote" |
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X |
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X |
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B- |
Catherine
Keener, "Capote" |
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C- |
Frances McDormand, "North Country" |
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X |
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C- |
Frances
McDormand, "North Country" |
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D- |
Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener" |
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7 |
7 |
7 |
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7 |
7 |
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7 |
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7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
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7 |
7 |
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D- |
Rachel
Weisz, "The Constant Gardener" |
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E- |
Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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X |
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E- |
Michelle
Williams, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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| 6- |
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BEST DIRECTOR - 7 POINTS |
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6- |
BEST
DIRECTOR - 7 POINTS |
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A- |
Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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7 |
7 |
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7 |
7 |
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7 |
7 |
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7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
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7 |
7 |
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A- |
Ang Lee,
"Brokeback Mountain" |
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B- |
Bennett Miller, "Capote" |
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X |
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B- |
Bennett
Miller, "Capote" |
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C- |
Paul Haggis, "Crash" |
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X |
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C- |
Paul
Haggis, "Crash" |
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D- |
George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck" |
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D- |
George
Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck" |
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E- |
Steven Spielberg, "Munich" |
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E- |
Steven
Spielberg, "Munich" |
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| 7- |
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BEST SOUND (SOUND MIXING) - 3 POINTS |
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7- |
BEST SOUND
(SOUND MIXING) - 3 POINTS |
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A- |
The
Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch |
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A- |
The
Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch |
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B- |
King
Kong" |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
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B- |
King
Kong" |
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C- |
Memoirs
of a Geisha" |
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X |
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X |
X |
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C- |
Memoirs of
a Geisha" |
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D- |
Walk the
Line" |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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D- |
Walk the
Line" |
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E- |
War of
the Worlds" |
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X |
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E- |
War of the
Worlds" |
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| 8- |
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COSTUME DESIGN - 3 POINTS |
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8- |
COSTUME
DESIGN - 3 POINTS |
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A- |
Gabriella
Pescucci, "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory" |
X |
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A- |
Gabriella
Pescucci, "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory" |
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B- |
Colleen
Atwood, "Memoirs of a Geisha" |
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3 |
3 |
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3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
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3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
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3 |
3 |
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B- |
Colleen
Atwood, "Memoirs of a Geisha" |
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C- |
Sandy
Powell, "Mrs. Henderson Presents" |
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C- |
Sandy
Powell, "Mrs. Henderson Presents" |
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D- |
Jacqueline
Durran, "Pride & Prejudice" |
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X |
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D- |
Jacqueline
Durran, "Pride & Prejudice" |
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E- |
Arianne
Phillips, "Walk the Line" |
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E- |
Arianne
Phillips, "Walk the Line" |
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NB |
AB |
VG |
DH |
AH |
PH |
MJ |
RL |
LM |
LD |
CN |
SP |
CR |
JR |
BSc |
BS |
GS |
JeS |
JoS |
MS |
NS |
TS |
JSt |
KS |
AS |
JU |
SV |
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| 9- |
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BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - 3 POINTS |
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9- |
BEST VISUAL
EFFECTS - 3 POINTS |
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A- |
The
Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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X |
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A- |
The
Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch |
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B- |
King
Kong" |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
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3 |
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B- |
King
Kong" |
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C- |
War of
the Worlds" |
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X |
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X |
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C- |
War of the
Worlds" |
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| 10- |
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CINEMATOGRAPHY - 3 POINTS |
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10- |
CINEMATOGRAPHY
- 3 POINTS |
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A- |
Wally
Pfister, "Batman Begins" |
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X |
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A- |
Wally
Pfister, "Batman Begins" |
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B- |
Rodrigo
Prieto, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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X |
X |
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X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
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X |
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B- |
Rodrigo
Prieto, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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C- |
Robert
Elswit, "Good Night, and Good Luck" |
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X |
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X |
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C- |
Robert
Elswit, "Good Night, and Good Luck" |
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D- |
Dion
Beebe, "Memoirs of a Geisha" |
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3 |
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3 |
3 |
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3 |
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3 |
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D- |
Dion Beebe,
"Memoirs of a Geisha" |
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E- |
Emmanuel
Lubezki, "The New World" |
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E- |
Emmanuel
Lubezki, "The New World" |
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| 11- |
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ORIGINAL SCORE - 3 POINTS |
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11- |
ORIGINAL
SCORE - 3 POINTS |
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A- |
Gustavo
Santaolalla, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
3 |
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3 |
3 |
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A- |
Gustavo
Santaolalla, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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B- |
Alberto
Iglesias, "The Constant Gardener" |
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X |
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X |
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B- |
Alberto
Iglesias, "The Constant Gardener" |
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C- |
John
Williams, "Memoirs of a Geisha" |
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X |
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X |
X |
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X |
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X |
X |
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C- |
John
Williams, "Memoirs of a Geisha" |
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D- |
John
Williams, "Munich" |
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X |
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X |
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D- |
John
Williams, "Munich" |
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E- |
Dario
Marianelli, "Pride & Prejudice" |
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E- |
Dario
Marianelli, "Pride & Prejudice" |
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NB |
AB |
VG |
DH |
AH |
PH |
MJ |
RL |
LM |
LD |
CN |
SP |
CR |
JR |
BSc |
BS |
GS |
JeS |
JoS |
MS |
NS |
TS |
JSt |
KS |
AS |
JU |
SV |
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| 12- |
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SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED) - 3 POINTS. |
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12- |
SCREENPLAY
(ADAPTED) - 3 POINTS. |
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A- |
Larry
McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain" |
X |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
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3 |
3 |
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A- |
Larry
McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain" |
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B- |
Dan
Futterman, "Capote" |
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X |
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X |
X |
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B- |
Dan
Futterman, "Capote" |
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C- |
Jeffrey
Caine, "The Constant Gardener" |
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C- |
Jeffrey
Caine, "The Constant Gardener" |
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D- |
Josh
Olsen, "A History of Violence" |
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D- |
Josh Olsen,
"A History of Violence" |
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E- |
Tony
Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich" |
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X |
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X |
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E- |
Tony
Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich" |
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| 13- |
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SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL) - 3 POINTS |
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13- |
SCREENPLAY
(ORIGINAL) - 3 POINTS |
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A- |
Paul
Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash" |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
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3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
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3 |
3 |
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A- |
Paul
Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash" |
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B- |
George
Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck" |
|
X |
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B- |
George
Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck" |
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C- |
Woody
Allen, "Match Point" |
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X |
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C- |
Woody
Allen, "Match Point" |
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D- |
Noah
Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale" |
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X |
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D- |
Noah
Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale" |
|
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E- |
Stephen
Gaghan, "Syriana" |
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X |
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E- |
Stephen
Gaghan, "Syriana" |
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| 14- |
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ANIMATED FILM - 3 POINTS |
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14- |
ANIMATED
FILM - 3 POINTS |
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A- |
Howl's
Moving Castle" |
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X |
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A- |
Howl's
Moving Castle" |
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B- |
"Tim
Burton's Corpse Bride" |
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X |
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X |
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B- |
"Tim
Burton's Corpse Bride" |
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C- |
"Wallace
& Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit" |
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3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
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3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
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3 |
3 |
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C- |
"Wallace
& Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit" |
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NB |
AB |
VG |
DH |
AH |
PH |
MJ |
RL |
LM |
LD |
CN |
SP |
CR |
JR |
BSc |
BS |
GS |
JeS |
JoS |
MS |
NS |
TS |
JSt |
KS |
AS |
JU |
SV |
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|
Total Score |
|
0 |
|
40 |
37 |
41 |
20 |
39 |
30 |
45 |
33 |
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
52 |
59 |
62 |
56 |
48 |
|
62 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
|
Total
Score |
|
|
Final Place |
|
|
|
10 |
12 |
9 |
16 |
11 |
14 |
8 |
13 |
|
15 |
6 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
7 |
|
1 |
4 |
|
|
|
NB |
AB |
VG |
DH |
AH |
PH |
MJ |
RL |
LM |
LD |
CN |
SP |
CR |
JR |
BSc |
BS |
GS |
JeS |
JoS |
MS |
NS |
TS |
JSt |
KS |
AS |
JU |
SV |
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TIE BREAKER - Final 3 Oscars |
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|
|
TIE
BREAKER - Final 3 Oscars |
|
|
Academy Awards Brokeback
Mountain (8 nominations) will win |
4 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
5 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
|
5 |
5 |
|
|
Academy
Awards Brokeback Mountain (8 nominations) will win |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2ND TIE BREAKER Final 1 Oscar |
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
2ND TIE
BREAKER Final 1 Oscar |
|
|
Academy Awards Walk the
Line (5 nominations) will win |
2 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
|
1 |
3 |
|
0 |
Academy
Awards Walk the Line (5 nominations) will win |
|
|
|
|
|
|
KRISTEN STOUB DEFEATED MELISSA SLAGLE ON
THE 2ND TIE BREAKER TO WIN 2006 ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTIONS |
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|
|
Kristin Stoub and Melissa Slagle had
identical predictions including the first tie breaker. Their only difference was on the 2nd
tiebreaker. Kristin was |
|
|
|
perfect on the 2nd tie
breaker thus won the 2006 Academy Award predicts. Kristen broke John Slagle's three year
streak of winning the Academy |
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Award Predicts. This is the 6th straight year a Slagle
family member won the predicts. John still added to his record getting the
first 5 categories |
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announced to run his
fantastic streak to 29 straight categories predicted correctly over 3
years. Breaking the streak was sound
mixing which Kristin |
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correctly picked King
Kong while John picked Walk the Line.
That was their only difference on the 14 Oscar categories. Six of the top 7 predictors |
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were
Slagles. This the 3rd straight year
that a tie breaker was needed to determine the winner. |
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Broadback Mountain won 3 Oscars tieng
for the most. This is the first time
in 60 years that the leader only had 3 Oscars. Andrew Hazelwood was |
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the
only predictor to correctly predict 3 Oscars for Broadback Mountain. Kristen, Nelson and Jerry Slagle correctly
picked 1 Oscar for Walk the Line. |
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Congrats to Kristin for winning and John
for winning 3 straight Acasdemy Award predictions and picking 29 straight
categories correctly over three years. |
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The leading predictors that have
predicted at least 3 years are: John Slagle (averages 2nd place), Nelson Slagle averaging 4.3 place, Jerry
Slagle |
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averaging 4.7 place, Amy
Stokard averaging 6.8 place and Luis Melo averaging 8.3 place. |
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JOHN SLAGLE GOES 14 FOR 14 TO WIN
THE ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTIONS FOR THE 3RD STRAIGHT YEAR |
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John Slagle predicted all 14 categories
to finish with 77 points and beat Melissa Slagle by 12 points. Amazingly, after picking the first 13 |
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categories
correctly, he still needed to get best picture correct to win the
predicts. Amy Stockard would have won
if Aviator won best picture. |
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The top 5 predictors
were: John Slagle 77, Melissa Slagle
65, Nikki Barber 61, Scott Van Camp 60 and Virginia Gaeta & Cindy Van
Camp 58. |
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John Slagle has won three years in a row. Last year John picked 12 of 14 catergoies
correctly. John has now picked 23
straight categories correctly. |
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John has now picked 23
straight categories correctly |
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JOHN SLAGLE REPEATS AS
ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTION WINNER ON TIEBREAKER IN 2004 |
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John Slagle, Amy
Stockard and Jerry Slagle all tied with 71 points in the Academy Awards
Predictions. John won the tie breaker
with 9 |
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predicted Academy Award
Oscars for Lord of the Ring (it won 11 of 11 nominations!). All three predictors set an all time
scoring record |
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(that may never be
broken) and predicted 12 of 14 categories correctly. John also was closest on
the tie breaker as both he and Nikki |
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Barber guessed 9, and
closest on the 2nd tie breaker as he correctly guessed 0 for Seabiscuit
Oscars tying with Luis Melo. Thus John |
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made a complete sweep of
the 2004 predicts. Nelson predicted a
record 13 of 14 categories correctly, but missed one of the major |
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categories (Best Actor)
and finished 8th (might be a protest filed regarding the scoring for each
category!!). John, Amy and Jerry
predicted |
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all six major categories
correctly, but missed two minor categories. |
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We have predicted 14 categories for the
last 3 years and the record number of points was by Nelson in 2002 with 51
and the record |
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categories
correctly predicted was 9 each of the last two years by Nelson and John. Both scoring records were obliterated in
2004. |
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John is the leading predictor who has
predicted at least 3 years, finishing 4th, 1st and 1st. Of the 5 year predictors, Nelson leads |
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totaling
17 places, followed by Jerry Slagle
totaling 24 places and Luis Melo totatling 43 places. |
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Trophy presentation and Academy Award
pictures will be available in a few days. |
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JOHN
SLAGLE WINS 2003 OSCAR PREDICTS ON TIE BREAKER |
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John Slagle and Nelson Slagle both
finished with 46 points but John won the tie breaker by guessing 6 |
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Oscars for Chicago. Tammy Slagle finished 3rd for the 2nd
straight year. John and Nelson were
tied |
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for the lead all night
long until Pianist won for Best Director to move Tammy into the lead. John and Nelson |
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won on Best Picture,
Chicago as Tammy had Pianist. John and Nelson had the same picks on 12 of 14 |
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categories. |
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RESULTS FOR 2000
THROUGH 2004 |
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20 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
20- |
20- |
20- |
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6 |
05 |
04 |
03 |
02 |
01 |
00 |
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PREDICTORS |
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PL |
PL |
PL |
PL |
PL |
PL |
PL |
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NB |
Nikki Barber |
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12 |
12 |
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NB |
Nikki
Barber |
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AB |
Anne Marie Benson |
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5 |
5 |
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AB |
Anne Marie
Benson |
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VG |
Virginia Gaeta |
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10 |
21 |
21 |
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VG |
Virginia
Gaeta |
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DH |
Dick Hammerstrom |
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12 |
15 |
15 |
7 |
2 |
8 |
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DH |
Dick
Hammerstrom |
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AH |
Andrew Hazelwood |
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9 |
5 |
5 |
18 |
17 |
3 |
5 |
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AH |
Andrew
Hazelwood |
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PH |
Phil Hensley |
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16 |
9 |
9 |
16 |
14 |
4 |
12 |
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PH |
Phil
Hensley |
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MJ |
Mike Juarez |
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11 |
16 |
16 |
10 |
10 |
7 |
3 |
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MJ |
Mike
Juarez |
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RL |
Randy Lang |
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14 |
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RL |
Randy Lang |
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LD |
Randy Langs 4 daughters |
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13 |
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LD |
Randy
Langs 4 daughters |
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AM |
Al Manzey |
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23 |
23 |
17 |
18 |
12 |
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AM |
Al Manzey |
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LM |
Luis Melo |
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8 |
7 |
7 |
15 |
11 |
9 |
1 |
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LM |
Luis Melo |
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CN |
Cindy Nichols |
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13 |
13 |
8 |
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CN |
Cindy
Nichols |
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SP |
Stephanie Poff |
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20 |
20 |
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SP |
Stephanie
Poff |
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CR |
Christina Rich |
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19 |
19 |
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CR |
Christina
Rich |
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JR |
Jeff Robinette |
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26 |
26 |
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8 |
11 |
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JR |
Jeff
Robinette |
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BSc |
Bob Scholl |
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18 |
18 |
14 |
15 |
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BSc |
Bob Scholl |
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BS |
Bonnie Shaffstall |
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24 |
24 |
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BS |
Bonnie
Shaffstall |
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GS |
Gale Slagle |
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15 |
22 |
22 |
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GS |
Gale
Slagle |
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JeS |
Jerry Slagle |
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6 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
2 |
9 |
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JeS |
Jerry
Slagle |
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JoS |
John Slagle |
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3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
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JoS |
John
Slagle |
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NS |
Nelson Slagle |
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5 |
8 |
8 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
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NS |
Nelson
Slagle |
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TS |
Tammy Slagle |
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7 |
14 |
14 |
3 |
3 |
13 |
10 |
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TS |
Tammy
Slagle |
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JSt |
Jon Stapp |
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10 |
10 |
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9 |
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JSt |
Jon Stapp |
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KS |
Kristen Stoub |
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1 |
4 |
4 |
9 |
16 |
6 |
11 |
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KS |
Kristen
Stoub |
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AS |
Amy Stockard |
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4 |
2 |
2 |
12 |
5 |
16 |
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AS |
Amy
Stockard |
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JU |
Janet Ungaro |
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25 |
25 |
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JU |
Janet
Ungaro |
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MU |
Melissa Ungaro Slagle |
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2 |
17 |
17 |
5 |
12 |
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MU |
Melissa
Ungaro Slagle |
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SV |
Scott VanCamp |
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11 |
11 |
11 |
13 |
10 |
2 |
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SV |
Scott
VanCamp |
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NOT PREDICTING IN 2004 |
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NOT PREDICTING IN 2004 |
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AC |
Andy Corn |
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6 |
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AC |
Andy Corn |
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AC2 |
Andrew Coates |
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19 |
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AC2 |
Andrew
Coates |
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MaJ |
Mary Juarez |
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14 |
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3 |
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MaJ |
Mary
Juarez |
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MH |
Mickey Hazelwood |
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15 |
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MH |
Mickey
Hazelwood |
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TN |
Tina Nguyen |
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7 |
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TN |
Tina
Nguyen |
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JiS |
Jim Slagle |
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5 |
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JiS |
Jim Slagle |
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WG |
Wayne Geiser |
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13 |
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WG |
Wayne
Geiser |
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